Analysis of factors affecting urban tourism development with a futures research approach Case study: Delfan

Document Type : Origional Article

Authors

1 Assistant Professor, Department of Urban Planning, Lorestan University, Khorramabad, Iran

2 PhD in Geography and Urban Planning, Acecr of lorestan baranch, Khorramabad, Iran

3 Department of Geography, Faculty of Literature and Humanities, Lorestan University, Khorramabad, Iran

Abstract
Background and Objective: This paper analyzes the factors affecting urban tourism development using a futures studies approach in Delfan County. Urban tourism, as a key aspect of global economic development, faces challenges in Iran's smaller cities where its potential is limited due to inadequate infrastructure and a lack of effective policies.
Methodology: This research adopts an applied approach in terms of purpose and a descriptive-survey method in terms of nature and research method. Employing analytical methods and expert surveys, the study identifies and examines key indicators using the MICMAC software, analyzing their mutual impacts on sustainable urban tourism development. Data collection methods include documentary (library-based) and field (questionnaire-based) research. The statistical population of this study comprises 30 experts in tourism, local authorities, and futures researchers.
Findings and Conclusion: The findings indicate that infrastructure development, the establishment of sanitary facilities, and the reduction of administrative bureaucracy are key factors in attracting tourists and increasing their satisfaction. Furthermore, ensuring safety and enhancing the sense of security in tourist areas are identified as crucial factors. Finally, the paper provides recommendations for policymakers and stakeholders to promote sustainable tourism development in Delfan County.
Background and Objective: This paper analyzes the factors affecting urban tourism development using a futures studies approach in Delfan County. Urban tourism, as a key aspect of global economic development, faces challenges in Iran's smaller cities where its potential is limited due to inadequate infrastructure and a lack of effective policies.
Methodology: This research adopts an applied approach in terms of purpose and a descriptive-survey method in terms of nature and research method. Employing analytical methods and expert surveys, the study identifies and examines key indicators using the MICMAC software, analyzing their mutual impacts on sustainable urban tourism development. Data collection methods include documentary (library-based) and field (questionnaire-based) research. The statistical population of this study comprises 30 experts in tourism, local authorities, and futures researchers.
Findings and Conclusion: The findings indicate that infrastructure development, the establishment of sanitary facilities, and the reduction of administrative bureaucracy are key factors in attracting tourists and increasing their satisfaction. Furthermore, ensuring safety and enhancing the sense of security in tourist areas are identified as crucial factors. Finally, the paper provides recommendations for policymakers and stakeholders to promote sustainable tourism development in Delfan County.

Keywords

Subjects



Articles in Press, Accepted Manuscript
Available Online from 20 February 2026

  • Receive Date 22 January 2025
  • Revise Date 19 March 2025
  • Accept Date 19 April 2025
  • First Publish Date 20 April 2025
  • Publish Date 20 February 2026