Explaining scenarios affecting sports with emphasis on the development of educational sports in the city of Ahvaz

Faramarzi, Hamid; Veisia, Esmaeil; Azmsha, Tahereh; Marashian, Seyed Hosein

Explaining scenarios affecting sports with emphasis on the development of educational sports in the city of Ahvaz

Document Type : Article extracted from dissertations

Authors

Hamid Faramarzi ¹ ^¶

Esmaeil Veisia ²

Tahereh Azmsha ³

Seyed Hosein Marashian ⁴

¹ MA degree student in sports management, Faculty of Sport Sciences, Shahid Chamran University of Ahvaz, Ahvaz, Iran

² Associate Professor in Sport Management Department, Faculty of Sport Sciences, Shahid Chamran University of Ahvaz, Ahvaz, Iran.

³ Assistant Professor in Sport Management Department, Faculty Of Sport Sciences,Shahid Chamran University Of Ahvaz, Ahvaz, Iran

⁴ Associate Professorin in Sport Management Department, Faculty Of Sport Sciences,Shahid Chamran University Of Ahvaz, Ahvaz, Iran

Abstract

Background and Objective: The development of educational sports is a comprehensive and purposeful approach that uses sports activities to cultivate various dimensions of human existence. This approach is not limited to physical skills, but also focuses on personality development, emotional intelligence, social skills, and mental health. Scenarios are developed for this purpose in order to predict and prepare for future challenges and opportunities in this area.
Methodology: In this regard, the present study was conducted with the aim of examining the effectiveness scenarios of the development of educational sports in the city of Ahvaz. Which is applied in terms of purpose and descriptive-analytical in terms of method, the data collection method was library, document, and interview (with 50 experts) and using future research techniques and Micmac and Scenario wizard software.
Results and Findings: First, with the participation of professors, officials, sports experts, and sports teachers, the main drivers in 6 dimensions and 45 factors were identified. Then, using the MicMac and ScenarioWizard software, the data were analyzed and effective scenarios on the development of educational sports were developed. In the present study, 45 main factors were initially identified in six different dimensions. Then, using the Mic Mac and ScenarioWizard software, 21 key drivers were selected from these factors and three main scenarios for the future were drawn. The first scenario, titled the desirable (golden) scenario, presents the best possible path, which, with a compatibility value of 5 and a total interaction score of 733, indicates a strong synergy between factors such as lifestyle and educational policies that leads to comprehensive development. In contrast, the undesirable scenario, with a negative compatibility value of 2 and a total negative interaction score of 117, depicts a future in which economic stagnation and incoherence lead to a serious regression of educational sports. The third scenario, the probable scenario (standing still), with a negative compatibility value of 1 and a total score of 45, predicts a static situation without significant progress. Finally, the results of this analysis emphasize that to achieve an ideal and sustainable future, we must focus on influential drivers in the dimensions of culture building, management, and macro-policy making to form a positive cycle in the development of educational sports.

Keywords

Sports

sports development

education

educational sports

Wizard scenario

Ahvaz city

Subjects

Social Planning

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