Future research on parameters affecting security and sustainable development in the border city of Kamyaran

Batmani, Fereydoun; Heidari Far, Mohammad Raoof

Future research on parameters affecting security and sustainable development in the border city of Kamyaran

Document Type : Origional Article

Authors

Fereydoun Batmani ¹ ^¶

Mohammad Raoof Heidari Far ²

¹ Graduated in Political Geography, Payame Noor University of Kermanshah, Kermanshah, Iran.

² Associate Professor of Political Geography,Department of Geography, Faculty of Social Sciences,Payame Noor University, Tehran, Iran.

Abstract

Background and Objective: Border regions face serious security and development challenges. Rapid global changes have exposed these regions to new threats and opportunities. For this reason, foresight regarding these regions is of great importance. In this regard, the present study, with a futures approach, has analyzed the key role of parameters affecting security and sustainable development in the border city of Kamyaran.
Methodology: This research is applied in terms of purpose and descriptive-analytical in terms of method. Data collection tools are in the form of library sources and documents and survey (questionnaire). The research area is the city of Kamyaran. The statistical sample of this research is 40 experts in the field of urban planning and sociology.
Findings and Results: The Delphi method and the cross-effects matrix (Micmac) were used to analyze the data. The research findings showed that out of 27 parameters affecting security and sustainable development in border cities, 19 parameters were identified as key and influential, and these variables have the most and least impact on the future of security and sustainable development in the border city of Kamyaran. and finally, the results showed that in terms of direct impact, the parameters of terrorist threats, unemployment rate, and crime rate are in the first to third positions with scores of 71, 66, and 65, respectively, and the parameters that have an indirect impact on security and sustainable development in the border city of Kamyaran are terrorist threats, crime rate, and unemployment rate with scores of 160,403, 151,603, and 147,612, respectively. The general results of this research showed that the border city of Kamyaran is in a critical situation in terms of security and sustainable development. However, the findings of this study can serve as a valuable guide for decision-makers, planners, and investors to take appropriate measures to create a brighter future for this city.

Keywords

Sustainable security

sustainable development

futures studies

MICMAC

Kamyaran city

Subjects

Town and country planning (Spatial Organization)

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