The Influence of Economic Factors on Migration from Iran: A Focus on the Misery Index

Hassanzadeh, Mohammad; Hashemi Dizaj, Abdulrahim; Aghazadeh, Roghayeh

The Influence of Economic Factors on Migration from Iran: A Focus on the Misery Index

Document Type : Extract article from research project

Authors

Mohammad Hassanzadeh ¹ ^¶

Abdulrahim Hashemi dizaj ²

Roghayeh Aghazadeh ³

¹ Professor of Economics, Department of Economics Faculty of Social Sciences, University of Mohaghegh Ardabili, Ardabil, Iran.

² Associate Professor of Economics, Department of Economics, Faculty of Social Sciences, University of Mohaghegh Ardabili, Ardabil, Iran.

³ MSc of Department of Economics, Faculty of Social Sciences, University of Mohaghegh Ardabili, Ardabil, Iran.

Abstract

Background and Objective: Migration, as an influential demographic event, creates significant changes in the structure and distribution of the population. Migration, not only as a phenomenon, but also as a metaphenomenon (an event that occurs due to the context and situation in which people live), has arisen from numerous economic, social, political, and cultural factors. For this reason, the causes and motivations of migration can be examined from different dimensions. Migration from Iran is a complex and multidimensional issue that has attracted much attention in recent years. The aim of this article is to examine the impact of economic factors on migration from Iran, with a special focus on the misery index (sum of inflation and unemployment).
Methodology The present study was conducted using a descriptive-analytical method and the documentary-library method was used to collect information. All data on the desired variables were used annually for the period 2000 to 2022. The self-explanatory method with distributional lags was used to examine the relationship between variables. The models presented to examine the effects of lags are known as distributional lag models, one of the most recent methods for these studies is the self-explanatory distributional lags or ARDL method.
Findings and Conclusion: The research findings indicate that the variables population, poverty index and GDP have a significant effect on migration from Iran, but the Gini coefficient inequality index does not have a significant effect on migration. . The poverty index also has a significant and positive effect on migration. . On the contrary, economic growth has a significant and negative effect on migration, so that a one percent increase in economic growth can reduce the migration rate by 0.1 percent. The results show that three key factors population growth, poverty rate and economic growth directly affect the migration process from Iran. With the increase in population, the pressure on the country's economic and social resources intensifies. In conditions where job opportunities and public services are not developed, people may migrate in search of better living conditions.

Keywords

: Immigration

Misery index

Economic Factors

Unemployment

Inflation

Subjects

Social Sciences

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