ارزیابی نقش تاب‌آوری اجتماعی شهری در مواجهه با پیامدهای ناشی از جنگ(مطالعه موردی: شهر اهواز)

نوع مقاله : مقاله علمی پژوهشی

نویسندگان

1 دانش‌آموختة جغرافیا و برنامه‌ریزی شهری، دانشگاه شهید چمران اهواز، اهواز، ایران.

2 دانشیار گروه جغرافیا و برنامه‌ریزی شهری، دانشگاه شهید چمران اهواز، اهواز، ایران.

چکیده
زمینه و هدف: تاب‌آوری اجتماعی شهری به عنوان یکی از کلیدی‌ترین ارکان مدیریت بحران و توسعه پایدار، پیوندی ناگسستنی با ظرفیت جوامع شهری در تحمل، انطباق و بازگشت به وضعیت مطلوب در برابر شوک‌های بیرونی دارد. در این میان، تجربه جنگ و پیامدهای پایدار ناشی از آن، آسیب‌پذیری‌های ساختاری و اجتماعی ویژه‌ای را به بافت‌های شهری تحمیل می‌کند که نیازمند رویکردی فراتر از مدیریت استاندارد بحران است. پژوهش حاضر با هدف ارزیابی نقش تاب‌آوری اجتماعی در ارتقای توانمندی شهر اهواز برای مواجهه با ابعاد چندگانه پیامدهای ناشی از جنگ و تحلیل ظرفیت‌های تاب‌آورانه ساکنان در برابر این چالش‌ها انجام شده است
روش شناسی: پژوهش حاضر از نظر ماهیت، کاربردی و از نظر روش‌شناسی، توصیفی-تحلیلی با رویکرد کمی است. به منظور دستیابی به اهداف پژوهش و ارزیابی نقش تاب‌آوری اجتماعی در مواجهه با پیامدهای جنگ در شهر اهواز، در گام نخست با بهره‌گیری از مطالعات اسنادی و کتابخانه‌ای، متغیرهای کلیدی در قالب یک مدل مفهومی استخراج گردیدند. بدین منظور، هشت مؤلفه برای «تاب‌آوری اجتماعی» (شامل سرمایه اجتماعی، اعتماد اجتماعی، مشارکت و تعامل، حس تعلق، رهبری اجتماعی، ارزش‌ها و هنجارها، دانش و اطلاعات، و کارایی جمعی) و سه مؤلفه برای «پیامدهای پس از جنگ» (شامل شاخص‌های کالبدی، اجتماعی-روانی و وضعیت بازسازی) شناسایی شدند.
یافته‌ها و نتایج: تجزیه و تحلیل داده‌ها با استفاده از مدل‌سازی معادلات ساختاری (SEM) و رویکرد حداقل مربعات جزئی (Smart-PLS) انجام پذیرفت. نتایج نشان‌دهنده برازش مطلوب مدل در تبیین روابط پیچیده میان تاب‌آوری اجتماعی و پیامدهای پسا‌جنگ در شهر اهواز است. تحلیل‌های ساختاری تأیید می‌کنند که تمامی فرضیات در سطح اطمینان ۹۹ درصد معنادار بوده و تاب‌آوری اجتماعی نقشی کلیدی در کاهش آثار جنگ ایفا می‌کند. مؤلفه‌های «مشارکت جمعی»، «انسجام محلی» و «رویکردهای اجتماع‌محور در بازسازی»، بیشترین سهم را در ارتقای تاب‌آوری شهروندان دارند. این یافته‌ها ضمن تأیید اعتبار ابزار سنجش، بر اولویت‌بخشی به عدالت در بازسازی جهت تقویت تاب‌آوری پایدار در این کلان‌شهر تأکید می‌ورزند.

کلیدواژه‌ها

موضوعات

عنوان مقاله English

Evaluation of the Role of Urban Social Resilience in Encountering the Consequences of War (Case Study: Ahvaz City)

نویسندگان English

ِDanial Lotfalizadeh 1
Majid Goodarzi 2
Zahra Soltani 2
1 Graduate of Geography and Urban Planning, Shahid Chamran University of Ahvaz, Ahvaz, Iran.
2 Associate Professor, Department of Geography and Urban Planning, Shahid Chamran University of Ahvaz, Ahvaz, Iran.
چکیده English

Background and Objective: Urban social resilience, as one of the key pillars of crisis management and sustainable development, has an inseparable link with the capacity of urban communities to endure, adapt, and return to a desired state in the face of external shocks. Meanwhile, the experience of war and its enduring consequences impose specific structural and social vulnerabilities on urban fabrics that require an approach beyond standard crisis management. This research was conducted with the aim of evaluating the role of social resilience in enhancing the capacity of Ahvaz city to confront the multi-dimensional consequences of war and analyzing the resilience capacities of residents in the face of these challenges.
Methodology: This research is applied in nature and follows a descriptive-analytical methodology with a quantitative approach. To achieve the research objectives and evaluate the role of social resilience in addressing the consequences of war in Ahvaz, the key variables were first extracted and organized into a conceptual model using documentary and library research. For this purpose, eight components were identified for "social resilience" (including social capital, social trust, participation and interaction, sense of belonging, social leadership, values and norms, knowledge and information, and collective efficacy) and three components for "post-war consequences" (including physical indicators, social-psychological impacts, and reconstruction status).
Results and Findings: Data analysis was conducted using Structural Equation Modeling (SEM) and the Partial Least Squares (PLS) approach via Smart-PLS software. The results demonstrate a favorable model fit in explaining the complex relationships between social resilience and post-war consequences in the city of Ahvaz. Structural analyses confirm that all hypotheses were significant at the 99% confidence level, indicating that social resilience plays a key role in mitigating the impacts of war. Components such as "collective participation," "local cohesion," and "community-based approaches to reconstruction" have the greatest impact on enhancing citizens' resilience. While validating the measurement instrument, these findings emphasize prioritizing justice in reconstruction to strengthen sustainable resilience in this metropolis.

کلیدواژه‌ها English

Resilience
Social Resilience
War
Structural Equation Modeling (SEM)
Ahvaz City
 
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