اثرات شاخصهای توسعه انسانی و دیجیتالی شدن بر کیفیت محیطی در کشورهای منتخب خاورمیانه و شمال آفریقا (MENA)

نوع مقاله : مقاله مستخرج از رساله دکتری

نویسندگان

1 دانشجوی دکتری اقتصاد،علوم اقتصادی(توسعه اقتصادی) پردیس بین المللی ارس،دانشگاه تبریز،ایران

2 استاد دانشکده اقتصاد و مدیریت دانشگاه تبریز،ایران

چکیده
این پژوهش به اثرات شاخص­های توسعه انسانی و دیجیتالی شدن بر کیفیت محیط زیست با تاکید بر توسعه مالی : رویکرد رگرسیون کوانتایل در کشورهای منتخب خاورمیانه و شمال آفریقا (MENA) طی سال‌های 2002 تا 2021 می‌پردازد. روش تحقیق از نوع کاربردی و داده‌ها به‌صورت اسنادی (کتابخانه‌ای) گردآوری شده و برای تحلیل، از مدل‌های اقتصادسنجی کوانتایل و داده‌های پانل با آزمون هاسمن استفاده شده است. نتایج پژوهش نشان دادند که،در مدل پژوهش:HDIوNAT: دراکثر کوانتایلها اثر مثبت معنی داردارد. WGINDEX: این شاخص در اکثرکوانتایل ها اثر منفی و معنادار داشته،DIG: این متغییر در 80% و90% اثر مثبت و معنادار دارد.FININDEX:شاخص مالی در کوانتیل ۹۰% اثر منفی و معناداری داشته GDP: تولید ناخالص داخلی در کوانتیلهای ۸۰% و ۹۰% اثر مثبت و معنادار ی دارد. در مجموع، یافته‌ها نشان می‌دهند که رشد دیجیتالی و اقتصادی می‌تواند به بهبود وضعیت محیطی کمک کند، اما بهره‌ برداری ناپایدار از منابع طبیعی و بی‌ثباتی سیاسی موجب تضعیف کیفیت محیط می‌شود.

کلیدواژه‌ها

موضوعات

عنوان مقاله English

The effects of human development indicators and digitalization on environmental quality in selected countries of the Middle East and North Africa (MENA)

نویسندگان English

Robab Mansouri 1
Seyed Kamal Sadeghi 2
Parviz Mohammadzadeh 2
Mohammad Mahdi Barghi Osgouei 2
1 Ph.D. student of Economics, Economic Sciences (Economic Development), Aras International Campus, University of Tabriz, Iran.
2 Professor,of the Faculty of Economics and Management, University of Tabriz, Iran.
چکیده English



This study aims to investigate the effects of human development and digitalization indicators on environmental quality, with an emphasis on financial development, in selected Middle East and North Africa (MENA) countries over the period 2002 to 2021. The research method is applied, and data were collected through documentary (library) methods. For data analysis, quantile econometric models and panel data approaches were employed, and the Hausman test was used to choose between fixed and random effects. The dependent variable is the ecological footprint index (EFINDEX) as a comprehensive measure of environmental quality. Independent variables include digitalization (DIG), natural resources (NAT), political stability (WGINDEX), financial development (FININDEX), human development (HDI), and gross domestic product (GDP). The financial development and political stability indices were transformed into composite indicators using Principal Component Analysis (PCA).

Descriptive findings indicate significant heterogeneity among MENA countries. Unit root test results show that, except for the political stability index and the ecological footprint index which became stationary at the first difference I(1), all other variables are stationary at levels I(0). Furthermore, the results of the Chow (Limer) and Hausman tests confirm the appropriateness of the panel data method with fixed effects for model estimation.

Quantile regression results across various quantiles (10% to 90%) reveal that the Human Development Index (HDI) has a positive and significant effect on environmental quality in most quantiles, particularly above the 60th quantile. The natural resources variable (NAT) also exhibits a positive and significant effect in most quantiles. The political stability index (WGINDEX) shows a negative and significant impact on ecological footprint in the 40% to 80% quantiles. Digitalization (DIG) has a positive and significant effect at the 80% and 90% quantiles, indicating that in high-performing countries, digital development can contribute to improving environmental quality. The financial development index (FININDEX) demonstrates a negative and significant effect at the 90% quantile. Gross domestic product (GDP) also has a positive and significant effect at the 80% and 90% quantiles.

Overall, the findings suggest that digital and economic growth can help improve environmental conditions; however, unsustainable exploitation of natural resources and political instability undermine environmental quality. Therefore, policymakers in MENA countries should adopt differentiated strategies—such as promoting clean technologies, strengthening environmental governance, and implementing green digital regulations—based on different development levels (low-income, middle-income, and high-income). Regional cooperation and the establishment of joint environmental funds are also essential for achieving sustainable development.

کلیدواژه‌ها English

Digitalization Method
Environmental Quality
Quantile Econometric

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انتشار آنلاین از 01 تیر 1405

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